TRADEWINDS v4.2.6

Release Brief — Rebalanced Gates
RELEASE: 4.2.6 (POWER ENGINE)
TYPE: CALIBRATION FIX
SUPERSEDES: v4.2.5
STATUS: PAPER / EVALUATION
TL;DR — v4.2.5 stacked five new filters simultaneously, violating our own one-variable-at-a-time discipline. The result: the bot went nearly silent, missing clean 300-point trends that met the spirit of every entry rule but failed on the stacked technicalities. v4.2.6 corrects this by keeping the one filter the data actually proved (2-bar consecutive confirmation) and returning the selectivity gates to the levels where the engine was profitable. One real improvement over the proven baseline — not five untested ones stacked on top of each other.

What Happened — The Lesson

We over-tightened. Analysis of v4.2.4 showed that single-bar spike entries were the primary drag (43% win vs 73% for multi-bar entries). The correct fix was the 2-bar consecutive confirmation gate. But v4.2.5 also raised the power threshold, widened the gap requirement, increased the ADX floor, required rising ADX, and added bar-quality filters — all at once. Each made individual sense; stacked together, they created an entry gate that almost nothing could pass. A clean trending session with 300+ points of movement produced near-zero trades. The cure was worse than the disease.

This is the exact mistake the validation discipline is designed to catch: changing multiple variables simultaneously makes it impossible to know which change helped and which hurt. v4.2.6 resets to known-good levels and adds only the one filter with direct data evidence behind it.

What Changed — v4.2.5 → v4.2.6

Gates returned to proven levelsCalibration
The selectivity gates that were raised in v4.2.4/v4.2.5 are returned to the levels where the Power Engine was demonstrably profitable (v4.2.3).
Settingv4.2.5v4.2.6Rationale
Min Power (dominant)8580The engine was profitable at 80; raising to 85 blocked valid setups
Min Power Gap5550Same — 50 was the proven level
Min ADX232023 was too strict for 1-min chart; 20 was where it worked
Require Rising ADXOnOffADX oscillates bar-to-bar on 1-min; requiring it to rise every bar killed most entries
Kept from v4.2.5 — the real improvementsRetained
Everything that was data-driven and not part of the gate-stacking problem carries forward unchanged:

The Design Principle — Stated for the Record

v4.2.6 = the profitable v4.2.3 engine + the one filter the data demanded.

The Power Engine at 80/50/20 gates was net profitable. The 2-bar consecutive confirmation filters the single-bar fake spikes that were the primary drag. Together, they represent one real improvement over a proven baseline — which is how validation is supposed to work. Every other filter (rising ADX, tighter gates, higher thresholds) remains available as a toggleable setting for future testing, but is off by default until data earns it individually.

What This Version Should Look Like

Compared to what we've seen this week:

VersionTrades/SessionBehavior
v4.2.3 (legacy gates, no consec)~83Too many trades, fake spikes, cost drag
v4.2.4 (raised gates, no consec)~45Fewer trades, but fakes still got in
v4.2.5 (raised gates + all filters)~0–3Near-silent, missed clean trends
v4.2.6 (proven gates + 2-bar consec)~20–35 (expected)Fewer than v4.2.3, better quality than v4.2.4, actually trades

Deployment

What We’re Watching

(1) Does it actually trade? (v4.2.5's failure mode.) (2) Is the win/loss size ratio back above 1.0×? (The 2-bar filter's job.) (3) Are the fake single-bar spikes filtered while real multi-bar moves are caught? (4) Trade count in the 20–35 range? (Between v4.2.3's over-trading and v4.2.5's silence.)